Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
March 21, 2026
Santa Cruz
1–1
FT
Mazarrón FC
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Santa Cruz
Rank#7
Played26
Points38
PPG1.46
Goal Diff4
W
D
L
W
L
Mazarrón FC
5#Rank
26Played
43Points
1.65PPG
13Goal Diff
W
D
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.53
1-0
12.6%
7.93
0-1
11.1%
9.04
0-0
10.5%
9.51
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.2
NO
54% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santa Cruz
28% · 3.62
Draw
35% · 2.84
Mazarrón FC
37% · 2.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.56
Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.92
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.24
Under 81% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Santa Cruz
W
D
L
W
L
Mazarrón FC
W
D
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Santa Cruz
Stat
Mazarrón FC
1.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#7
League Pos.
#5
38 pts
Points
43 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.65
+4
Goal Diff.
+13
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Santa Cruz
Draw
Mazarrón FC
3
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cieza
|
29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | +37 | 64 |
| 2 |
Real Murcia II
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +17 | 54 |
| 3 |
Unión Molinense
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 |
Olímpico Totana
|
29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | +14 | 49 |
| 5 |
UCAM Murcia II
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 48 |
| 6 |
Mazarrón FC
A
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 48 |
| 7 |
Santa Cruz
H
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
| 8 |
Atlético Pulpileño
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 42 |
| 9 |
Águilas II
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 39 |
| 10 |
Bala Azul
|
29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | +7 | 36 |
| 11 |
Cartagena LU II
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 36 |
| 12 |
SFC Minerva
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |
El Palmar
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 |
Balsicas Atlético
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 |
UD Caravaca
|
29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 |
Muleño
|
29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 |
Santomera
|
29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -27 | 23 |
| 18 |
Yeclano II
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.