Primera A Primera A March 23, 2026
Santa Fe

Santa Fe

21
FT
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 23 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Santa Fe
Rank#7
Played20
Points31
PPG1.55
Goal Diff4
D W L L W
Independiente Medellin
1#Rank
20Played
40Points
2.0PPG
18Goal Diff
W L D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.3%
6.55
1-1
12.6%
7.96
0-0
11.1%
9.03
2-0
10.5%
9.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.38
NO 58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santa Fe 34% · 2.94
Draw 35% · 2.89
Independiente Medellin 31% · 3.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.65 Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.55 Under 35% · 2.82
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.55 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Santa Fe Santa Fe
D W L L W
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
W L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Santa Fe
Stat
Independiente Medellin
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#7
League Pos.
#1
31 pts
Points
40 pts
1.55
Points / Game
2.0
+4
Goal Diff.
+18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record