Serie A
April 11, 2026
Santos
23:00
VS
Atletico-MG
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Santos
Rank#12
Played38
Points47
PPG1.24
Goal Diff-5
W
W
W
D
D
Atletico-MG
11#Rank
38Played
48Points
1.26PPG
-1Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.5%
5.7
2-0
14.4%
6.96
0-0
10.7%
9.33
1-1
10.5%
9.54
Both Teams To Score
YES
36% · 2.76
NO
64% · 1.57
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santos
56% · 1.8
Draw
32% · 3.08
Atletico-MG
12% · 8.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.59
Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.37
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Santos
W
W
W
D
D
Atletico-MG
W
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Santos
Stat
Atletico-MG
1.64
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.6
#12
League Pos.
#11
47 pts
Points
48 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.26
-5
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Santos
Draw
Atletico-MG
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
A
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
H
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.