Serie A
May 3, 2026
Sao Paulo
19:00
VS
Bahia
Predicted score
1-0
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#8
Played38
Points51
PPG1.34
Goal Diff-4
L
W
L
W
L
Bahia
7#Rank
38Played
60Points
1.58PPG
4Goal Diff
L
W
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.3%
7.54
2-0
12.9%
7.76
Sao Paulo 4+
12.9%
1-1
9.9%
10.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.22
NO
55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo
57% · 1.74
Draw
31% · 3.27
Bahia
12% · 8.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99
Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34
Under 25% · 3.97
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.56
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sao Paulo
L
W
L
W
L
Bahia
L
W
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Sao Paulo
Stat
Bahia
1.94
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#8
League Pos.
#7
51 pts
Points
60 pts
1.34
Points / Game
1.58
-4
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Bahia
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
H
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
A
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.