Serie A Serie A May 23, 2026
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

20:00
VS
Botafogo

Botafogo

Predicted score

Sao Paulo 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, May 23 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#8
Played38
Points51
PPG1.34
Goal Diff-4
L W L W L
Botafogo
6#Rank
38Played
63Points
1.66PPG
20Goal Diff
W D D W W
Most Likely Scores
Sao Paulo 4+
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
8.03
1-0
11.9%
8.39
2-1
9.7%
10.3
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.11
NO 53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo 59% · 1.71
Draw 30% · 3.36
Botafogo 12% · 8.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84 Under 46% · 2.2
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13 Under 68% · 1.47

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
L W L W L
Botafogo Botafogo
W D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Sao Paulo
Stat
Botafogo
2.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#8
League Pos.
#6
51 pts
Points
63 pts
1.34
Points / Game
1.66
-4
Goal Diff.
+20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Botafogo
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo H
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
7
Flamengo Flamengo
8 4 2 2 +5 14
8
Botafogo Botafogo A
9 4 0 5 -3 12
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
10 3 3 4 -1 12
10
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
9 3 2 4 +1 11
11
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
8 3 1 4 -5 10
14
Santos Santos
9 2 4 3 -1 10
15
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
8 1 4 3 -6 7
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record