Serie A Serie A April 4, 2026
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

41
FT
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#8
Played38
Points51
PPG1.34
Goal Diff-4
L W L W L
Cruzeiro
3#Rank
38Played
70Points
1.84PPG
24Goal Diff
L D D W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.9%
6.71
2-0
11.8%
8.51
1-1
11.7%
8.56
0-0
9.5%
10.57
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.32
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo 54% · 1.86
Draw 35% · 2.84
Cruzeiro 11% · 8.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39 Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.15
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.72 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
L W L W L
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
L D D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Sao Paulo
Stat
Cruzeiro
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#8
League Pos.
#3
51 pts
Points
70 pts
1.34
Points / Game
1.84
-4
Goal Diff.
+24

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Cruzeiro
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo H
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Flamengo Flamengo
9 5 2 2 +7 17
5
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
6
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
10 5 1 4 +2 16
7
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
10 4 2 4 +2 14
9
Botafogo Botafogo
9 4 0 5 -3 12
10
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
9 3 2 4 -5 11
14
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
15
Santos Santos
10 2 4 4 -3 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
9 1 5 3 -6 8
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro A
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record