Primeira Liga
April 12, 2026
SC Braga
17:00
VS
Arouca
Predicted score
SC Braga 4+
57% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
57%
Team Context
SC Braga
Rank#4
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff27
D
W
W
L
W
Arouca
11#Rank
25Played
26Points
1.04PPG
-21Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
SC Braga 4+
32.6%
2-0
11.9%
8.39
3-0
11.8%
8.45
1-0
8.0%
12.5
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.16
NO
54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
SC Braga
68% · 1.48
Draw
25% · 4.02
Arouca
7% · 13.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44
Under 30% · 3.29
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14
Under 12% · 8.01
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.92
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
SC Braga
D
W
W
L
W
Arouca
L
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
SC Braga
Stat
Arouca
2.98
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.67
#4
League Pos.
#11
46 pts
Points
26 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.04
+27
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
SC Braga
Draw
Arouca
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
H
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
A
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.