Primeira Liga
May 17, 2026
SC Braga
16:00
VS
Estrela
Predicted score
SC Braga 4+
55% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
55%
Team Context
SC Braga
Rank#4
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff27
D
W
W
L
W
Estrela
12#Rank
25Played
25Points
1.0PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
D
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
SC Braga 4+
29.6%
2-0
13.7%
7.28
3-0
13.0%
7.72
1-0
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.45
NO
59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
SC Braga
68% · 1.47
Draw
25% · 4.01
Estrela
7% · 14.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54
Under 35% · 2.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18
Under 15% · 6.63
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34
Under 57% · 1.74
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
SC Braga
D
W
W
L
W
Estrela
D
D
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
SC Braga
Stat
Estrela
2.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.57
#4
League Pos.
#12
46 pts
Points
25 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.0
+27
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
SC Braga
Draw
Estrela
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
H
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
A
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.