Bundesliga Bundesliga April 4, 2026
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

23
FT
Bayern München

Bayern München

We predicted

Bayern München 4+ 50% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Bayern München 4+
|
Actual 2–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 50%
Team Context
SC Freiburg
Rank#8
Played25
Points34
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-5
D L W L W
Bayern München
1#Rank
25Played
66Points
2.64PPG
68Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
Bayern München 4+
23.5%
1-2
9.2%
10.93
1-3
7.8%
12.84
1-1
7.2%
13.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 67% · 1.5
NO 33% · 3.01
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
SC Freiburg 11% · 9.32
Draw 31% · 3.25
Bayern München 59% · 1.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36 Under 27% · 3.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12 Under 11% · 9.49
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89 Under 47% · 2.12

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
D L W L W
Bayern München Bayern München
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

SC Freiburg
Stat
Bayern München
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.55
#8
League Pos.
#1
34 pts
Points
66 pts
1.36
Points / Game
2.64
-5
Goal Diff.
+68

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München A
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg H
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
11
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
28 7 10 11 -9 31
12
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record