First League First League March 21, 2026
Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia

14
FT
Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali

We predicted

0-1 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–4

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Septemvri Sofia
Rank#14
Played26
Points21
PPG0.81
Goal Diff-31
L L L L W
Arda Kardzhali
8#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
2Goal Diff
W L D W D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.3%
7.51
1-1
11.5%
8.67
0-2
11.0%
9.08
1-2
9.6%
10.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.13
NO 53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Septemvri Sofia 12% · 8.5
Draw 35% · 2.88
Arda Kardzhali 54% · 1.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4 Under 28% · 3.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.07 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
L L L L W
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
W L D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Septemvri Sofia
Stat
Arda Kardzhali
0.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.65
#14
League Pos.
#8
21 pts
Points
35 pts
0.81
Points / Game
1.35
-31
Goal Diff.
+2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
27 21 2 4 +41 65
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
27 16 8 3 +35 56
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
27 16 5 6 +17 53
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
28 15 7 6 +19 52
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
28 11 11 6 -3 44
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
27 11 10 6 +13 43
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali A
28 11 8 9 +6 41
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
28 10 6 12 +0 36
9
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
27 9 8 10 +2 35
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
27 8 10 9 -2 34
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
28 8 10 10 +1 34
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
27 7 4 16 -16 25
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
28 4 11 13 -26 23
14
Beroe Beroe
28 4 10 14 -24 22
15
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia H
27 6 3 18 -34 21
16
Montana Montana
28 3 7 18 -29 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record