Premier League Premier League April 3, 2026
Sheger Ketema

Sheger Ketema

12
FT
Arba Minch Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Sheger Ketema
Rank#11
Played24
Points30
PPG1.25
Goal Diff0
W W D D D
Arba Minch Kenema
20#Rank
24Played
19Points
0.79PPG
-13Goal Diff
L W L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.9%
5.9
0-0
15.4%
6.48
1-1
13.1%
7.66
0-1
11.9%
8.4
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.79
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sheger Ketema 44% · 2.28
Draw 37% · 2.71
Arba Minch Kenema 19% · 5.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.47 Under 71% · 1.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79 Under 44% · 2.26
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.34 Under 88% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
W W D D D
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
L W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Sheger Ketema
Stat
Arba Minch Kenema
1.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#11
League Pos.
#20
30 pts
Points
19 pts
1.25
Points / Game
0.79
+0
Goal Diff.
-13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Sheger Ketema
Draw
Arba Minch Kenema
4 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
24 11 7 6 +10 40
3
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
24 10 8 6 +6 38
4
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
25 9 11 5 +6 38
5
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
25 9 10 6 +10 37
6
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
25 8 12 5 +2 36
7
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
24 10 5 9 +0 35
8
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
24 7 12 5 -1 33
9
Bahardar Bahardar
25 6 14 5 +0 32
10
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
25 7 10 8 +0 31
11
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema H
25 6 12 7 -1 30
12
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
25 7 8 10 -6 29
13
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
25 6 11 8 -8 29
14
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
25 5 13 7 +0 28
15
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
25 6 10 9 +0 28
16
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
24 7 7 10 -3 28
17
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
25 6 10 9 -3 28
18
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
24 6 10 8 -6 28
19
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
25 4 11 10 -11 23
20
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema A
25 4 10 11 -12 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record