First League First League March 22, 2026
Ska-khabarovsk

Ska-khabarovsk

13
FT
Arsenal Tula

Arsenal Tula

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Ska-khabarovsk
Rank#8
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff-1
D L W W D
Arsenal Tula
11#Rank
24Played
29Points
1.21PPG
1Goal Diff
L L D D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.92
1-0
11.2%
8.94
0-1
9.0%
11.09
2-1
8.8%
11.33
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.96
NO 49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ska-khabarovsk 40% · 2.51
Draw 30% · 3.34
Arsenal Tula 30% · 3.31
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.55
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.04 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
D L W W D
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
L L D D D

Key Stats Comparison

Ska-khabarovsk
Stat
Arsenal Tula
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#8
League Pos.
#11
33 pts
Points
29 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.21
-1
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula A
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk H
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
27 9 7 11 -5 34
12
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
27 6 9 12 -6 27
17
Chayka Chayka
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record