FKF Premier League
March 14, 2026
Sofapaka
0–1
FT
Nairobi United
We predicted
0-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
0-1
|
Actual
0–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Sofapaka
Rank#18
Played23
Points14
PPG0.61
Goal Diff-18
L
L
L
L
L
Nairobi United
10#Rank
20Played
30Points
1.5PPG
5Goal Diff
D
D
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.1%
7.66
1-1
12.3%
8.13
0-2
9.8%
10.2
1-2
9.2%
10.83
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.11
NO
53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sofapaka
24% · 4.22
Draw
26% · 3.83
Nairobi United
50% · 1.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27
Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43
Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.35
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sofapaka
L
L
L
L
L
Nairobi United
D
D
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Sofapaka
Stat
Nairobi United
0.94
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.5
#18
League Pos.
#10
14 pts
Points
30 pts
0.61
Points / Game
1.5
-18
Goal Diff.
+5
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
1 W
Sofapaka
Draw
Nairobi United
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 |
AFC Leopards
|
27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 |
Homeboyz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 |
Police
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 43 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 40 |
| 7 |
Nairobi United
A
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 38 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | +3 | 38 |
| 10 |
Tusker
|
26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Mara Sugar
|
26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Mathare United
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 |
APS Bomet
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 |
Bidco United
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 |
Sofapaka
H
|
27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -21 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.