Championship Championship February 21, 2026
Southampton

Southampton

11
FT
Charlton

Charlton

We predicted

1-0 31% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Southampton
Rank#10
Played32
Points46
PPG1.44
Goal Diff4
W W W D W
Charlton
18#Rank
32Played
39Points
1.22PPG
-10Goal Diff
L W D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.3%
6.55
2-0
12.0%
8.3
1-1
11.6%
8.64
0-0
9.7%
10.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.37
NO 58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Southampton 57% · 1.76
Draw 25% · 3.97
Charlton 18% · 5.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.42 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.1
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.82 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Southampton Southampton
W W W D W
Charlton Charlton
L W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Southampton
Stat
Charlton
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#10
League Pos.
#18
46 pts
Points
39 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.22
+4
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Southampton
Draw
Charlton
8 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
42 25 10 7 +42 85
2
Ipswich Ipswich
40 21 12 7 +31 75
3
Millwall Millwall
42 21 10 11 +9 73
4
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
42 20 12 10 +20 72
5
Southampton Southampton H
41 19 12 10 +20 69
6
Hull City Hull City
42 20 8 14 +4 68
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby
42 18 9 15 +8 63
9
Norwich Norwich
42 17 7 18 +5 58
10
Bristol City Bristol City
42 16 10 16 +1 58
11
QPR QPR
42 16 10 16 -5 58
12
Watford Watford
42 14 15 13 +1 57
13
Preston Preston
42 14 15 13 -3 57
14
Swansea Swansea
42 16 9 17 -4 57
15
Stoke City Stoke City
42 15 10 17 +3 55
16
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
42 16 6 20 +0 54
17
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
18
Charlton Charlton A
42 12 13 17 -12 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
42 12 12 18 -12 48
20
West Brom West Brom
42 11 13 18 -14 46
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
41 11 12 18 -16 45
22
Oxford United Oxford United
42 10 14 18 -13 44
23
Leicester Leicester
42 11 14 17 -10 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
42 1 11 30 -57 -4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record