Championship Championship March 21, 2026
Southampton

Southampton

20
FT
Oxford United

Oxford United

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Southampton
Rank#8
Played35
Points53
PPG1.51
Goal Diff11
W W D W W
Oxford United
23#Rank
36Played
35Points
0.97PPG
-14Goal Diff
W W L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.57
2-0
13.2%
7.55
1-1
10.6%
9.4
Southampton 4+
9.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.41
NO 59% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Southampton 55% · 1.81
Draw 32% · 3.14
Oxford United 13% · 7.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.28 Under 56% · 1.78
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.32
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.4 Under 77% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Southampton Southampton
W W D W W
Oxford United Oxford United
W W L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Southampton
Stat
Oxford United
1.74
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.7
#8
League Pos.
#23
53 pts
Points
35 pts
1.51
Points / Game
0.97
+11
Goal Diff.
-14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Southampton
Draw
Oxford United
5 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton H
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United A
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record