Championship Championship February 7, 2026
Southampton

Southampton

10
FT
Watford

Watford

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Southampton
Rank#14
Played30
Points40
PPG1.33
Goal Diff2
W D W L L
Watford
8#Rank
30Played
44Points
1.47PPG
4Goal Diff
D L D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.52
0-1
11.9%
8.38
1-0
11.4%
8.8
0-0
10.2%
9.78
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Southampton 34% · 2.91
Draw 28% · 3.51
Watford 37% · 2.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51 Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.5 Under 34% · 2.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.09 Under 80% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Southampton Southampton
W D W L L
Watford Watford
D L D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Southampton
Stat
Watford
1.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#14
League Pos.
#8
40 pts
Points
44 pts
1.33
Points / Game
1.47
+2
Goal Diff.
+4

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
42 25 10 7 +42 85
2
Ipswich Ipswich
40 21 12 7 +31 75
3
Millwall Millwall
42 21 10 11 +9 73
4
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
42 20 12 10 +20 72
5
Southampton Southampton H
41 19 12 10 +20 69
6
Hull City Hull City
42 20 8 14 +4 68
7
Wrexham Wrexham
42 17 13 12 +3 64
8
Derby Derby
42 18 9 15 +8 63
9
Norwich Norwich
42 17 7 18 +5 58
10
Bristol City Bristol City
42 16 10 16 +1 58
11
QPR QPR
42 16 10 16 -5 58
12
Watford Watford A
42 14 15 13 +1 57
13
Preston Preston
42 14 15 13 -3 57
14
Swansea Swansea
42 16 9 17 -4 57
15
Birmingham Birmingham
42 15 11 16 -1 56
16
Stoke City Stoke City
42 15 10 17 +3 55
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
42 16 6 20 +0 54
18
Charlton Charlton
42 12 13 17 -12 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
42 12 12 18 -12 48
20
West Brom West Brom
42 11 13 18 -14 46
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
41 11 12 18 -16 45
22
Oxford United Oxford United
42 10 14 18 -13 44
23
Leicester Leicester
42 11 14 17 -10 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
42 1 11 30 -57 -4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record