Eredivisie
May 17, 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
12:30
VS
Excelsior
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Sparta Rotterdam
Rank#7
Played26
Points38
PPG1.46
Goal Diff-10
D
L
L
D
D
Excelsior
15#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-17Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.1
2-0
11.8%
8.51
1-1
11.3%
8.82
2-1
9.5%
10.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.23
NO
55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sparta Rotterdam
53% · 1.9
Draw
33% · 3.07
Excelsior
15% · 6.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23
Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42
Under 29% · 3.41
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.25
Under 76% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
D
L
L
D
D
Excelsior
L
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sparta Rotterdam
Stat
Excelsior
1.67
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.81
#7
League Pos.
#15
38 pts
Points
26 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.0
-10
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Excelsior
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 54 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
H
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
A
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.