Eredivisie
February 17, 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
FT
NEC Nijmegen
We predicted
1-1
27% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, February 17 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Team Context
Sparta Rotterdam
Rank#5
Played22
Points36
PPG1.64
Goal Diff-7
D
W
W
W
W
NEC Nijmegen
4#Rank
22Played
41Points
1.86PPG
19Goal Diff
L
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.13
2-1
9.3%
10.74
Sparta Rotterdam 4+
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
12.14
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.67
NO
40% · 2.5
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sparta Rotterdam
46% · 2.17
Draw
24% · 4.21
NEC Nijmegen
30% · 3.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24
Under 20% · 5.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.56
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
D
W
W
W
W
NEC Nijmegen
L
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sparta Rotterdam
Stat
NEC Nijmegen
1.7
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.33
#5
League Pos.
#4
36 pts
Points
41 pts
1.64
Points / Game
1.86
-7
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
NEC Nijmegen
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 54 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
A
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
H
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.