Eredivisie
April 11, 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
16:45
VS
PSV Eindhoven
Predicted score
PSV Eindhoven 4+
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Sparta Rotterdam
Rank#7
Played26
Points38
PPG1.46
Goal Diff-10
D
L
L
D
D
PSV Eindhoven
1#Rank
26Played
68Points
2.62PPG
44Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
PSV Eindhoven 4+
12.2%
1-1
10.4%
9.59
1-2
10.0%
10.04
0-1
9.9%
10.08
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.81
NO
45% · 2.24
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sparta Rotterdam
12% · 8.1
Draw
33% · 3.0
PSV Eindhoven
54% · 1.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.77
Under 43% · 2.31
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.86
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.93
Under 66% · 1.52
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
D
L
L
D
D
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sparta Rotterdam
Stat
PSV Eindhoven
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.91
#7
League Pos.
#1
38 pts
Points
68 pts
1.46
Points / Game
2.62
-10
Goal Diff.
+44
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
5 W
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
24
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
A
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
H
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.