First League First League March 14, 2026
Spartak Kostroma

Spartak Kostroma

11
FT
Chayka

Chayka

We predicted

Spartak Kostroma 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Spartak Kostroma 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Spartak Kostroma
Rank#4
Played23
Points36
PPG1.57
Goal Diff6
D D L D L
Chayka
18#Rank
23Played
15Points
0.65PPG
-27Goal Diff
W L D L L
Most Likely Scores
Spartak Kostroma 4+
17.3%
2-1
9.9%
10.11
2-0
9.0%
11.15
1-1
9.0%
11.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.68
NO 41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Spartak Kostroma 62% · 1.61
Draw 20% · 5.05
Chayka 18% · 5.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56 Under 36% · 2.77
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19 Under 16% · 6.3
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4 Under 58% · 1.72

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
D D L D L
Chayka Chayka
W L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Spartak Kostroma
Stat
Chayka
2.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#4
League Pos.
#18
36 pts
Points
15 pts
1.57
Points / Game
0.65
+6
Goal Diff.
-27

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma H
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
27 9 7 11 -5 34
12
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
27 6 9 12 -6 27
17
Chayka Chayka A
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record