First League First League March 22, 2026
Spartak Kostroma

Spartak Kostroma

11
FT
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Shinnik Yaroslavl

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Spartak Kostroma
Rank#4
Played24
Points37
PPG1.54
Goal Diff6
D D D L D
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10#Rank
24Played
30Points
1.25PPG
-1Goal Diff
D W L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.86
1-1
12.7%
7.9
0-0
9.0%
11.1
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Spartak Kostroma 46% · 2.18
Draw 34% · 2.93
Shinnik Yaroslavl 20% · 5.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32 Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44 Under 31% · 3.26
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.5 Under 78% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
D D D L D
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
D W L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Spartak Kostroma
Stat
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#4
League Pos.
#10
37 pts
Points
30 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.25
+6
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
0 W
Spartak Kostroma
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma H
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
27 9 7 11 -5 34
12
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl A
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
27 6 9 12 -6 27
17
Chayka Chayka
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record