First League
March 19, 2026
Spartak Varna
1–5
FT
Ludogorets
We predicted
Ludogorets 4+
48% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, March 19 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Ludogorets 4+
|
Actual
1–5
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Ludogorets 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
48%
Team Context
Spartak Varna
Rank#13
Played26
Points23
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-17
L
L
W
L
D
Ludogorets
2#Rank
26Played
53Points
2.04PPG
31Goal Diff
W
W
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Ludogorets 4+
20.7%
0-2
14.6%
6.84
0-1
12.3%
8.13
0-3
11.6%
8.64
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.46
NO
59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Spartak Varna
5% · 21.93
Draw
29% · 3.41
Ludogorets
66% · 1.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.77
Under 43% · 2.3
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.86
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.95
Under 66% · 1.51
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Spartak Varna
L
L
W
L
D
Ludogorets
W
W
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Spartak Varna
Stat
Ludogorets
0.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.38
#13
League Pos.
#2
23 pts
Points
53 pts
0.88
Points / Game
2.04
-17
Goal Diff.
+31
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Spartak Varna
Draw
Ludogorets
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia
|
27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 65 |
| 2 |
Ludogorets
A
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +35 | 56 |
| 3 |
CSKA 1948
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +17 | 53 |
| 4 |
CSKA Sofia
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +19 | 52 |
| 5 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 |
Cherno More Varna
|
27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 43 |
| 7 |
Arda Kardzhali
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Botev Plovdiv
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +0 | 36 |
| 9 |
Slavia Sofia
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 10 |
Botev Vratsa
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 12 |
Dobrudzha
|
27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 |
Spartak Varna
H
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -26 | 23 |
| 14 |
Beroe
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -24 | 22 |
| 15 |
Septemvri Sofia
|
27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 |
Montana
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -29 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.