Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 1, 2026
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

21
FT
Nacional

Nacional

We predicted

Sporting CP 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Sporting CP 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played19
Points48
PPG2.53
Goal Diff42
W W D W W
Nacional
11#Rank
19Played
20Points
1.05PPG
-2Goal Diff
W L D L D
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
8.62
1-0
10.8%
9.28
2-1
9.8%
10.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.98
NO 49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sporting CP 67% · 1.49
Draw 19% · 5.19
Nacional 14% · 7.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74 Under 43% · 2.35
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.87 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sporting CP Sporting CP
W W D W W
Nacional Nacional
W L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Sporting CP
Stat
Nacional
2.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#2
League Pos.
#11
48 pts
Points
20 pts
2.53
Points / Game
1.05
+42
Goal Diff.
-2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP H
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional A
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record