Primeira Liga
April 3, 2026
Sporting CP
4–2
FT
Santa Clara
We predicted
Sporting CP 4+
50% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Sporting CP 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Sporting CP 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
50%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played25
Points62
PPG2.48
Goal Diff50
D
W
W
W
D
Santa Clara
16#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-9Goal Diff
W
D
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
22.5%
2-0
18.1%
5.52
3-0
14.9%
6.72
1-0
14.7%
6.8
Both Teams To Score
YES
28% · 3.56
NO
72% · 1.39
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sporting CP
70% · 1.43
Draw
28% · 3.62
Santa Clara
2% · 42.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88
Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.37
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.27
Under 69% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sporting CP
D
W
W
W
D
Santa Clara
W
D
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Sporting CP
Stat
Santa Clara
2.47
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.37
#2
League Pos.
#16
62 pts
Points
22 pts
2.48
Points / Game
0.88
+50
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Sporting CP
Draw
Santa Clara
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
H
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
A
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.