Primeira Liga
March 15, 2026
Sporting CP
15:30
VS
Tondela
Predicted score
Sporting CP 4+
54% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
54%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played25
Points62
PPG2.48
Goal Diff50
D
W
W
W
D
Tondela
17#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
D
W
D
D
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
27.0%
2-0
17.5%
5.71
3-0
15.7%
6.35
1-0
13.0%
7.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
28% · 3.58
NO
72% · 1.39
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sporting CP
72% · 1.4
Draw
26% · 3.79
Tondela
2% · 52.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.38
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24
Under 20% · 5.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85
Under 65% · 1.54
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sporting CP
D
W
W
W
D
Tondela
L
D
W
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Sporting CP
Stat
Tondela
2.7
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.36
#2
League Pos.
#17
62 pts
Points
19 pts
2.48
Points / Game
0.76
+50
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Sporting CP
Draw
Tondela
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
H
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
A
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.