Segunda División Segunda División March 15, 2026
Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon

41
FT
Castellón

Castellón

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Sporting Gijon
Rank#9
Played29
Points42
PPG1.45
Goal Diff1
L D D D W
Castellón
3#Rank
29Played
49Points
1.69PPG
15Goal Diff
L L D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.33
1-0
9.3%
10.72
2-1
8.9%
11.3
0-1
8.2%
12.27
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.79
NO 44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sporting Gijon 29% · 3.46
Draw 33% · 3.01
Castellón 38% · 2.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.2
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.35 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
L D D D W
Castellón Castellón
L L D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Sporting Gijon
Stat
Castellón
1.47
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#9
League Pos.
#3
42 pts
Points
49 pts
1.45
Points / Game
1.69
+1
Goal Diff.
+15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
34 19 5 10 +14 62
2
Almeria Almeria
34 18 7 9 +19 61
3
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
34 17 9 8 +15 60
4
Las Palmas Las Palmas
34 15 12 7 +17 57
5
Malaga Malaga
34 16 9 9 +15 57
6
Burgos Burgos
34 16 9 9 +12 57
7
Castellón Castellón A
33 15 9 9 +14 54
8
Eibar Eibar
34 15 9 10 +9 54
9
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
34 14 6 14 -13 48
10
FC Andorra FC Andorra
34 12 10 12 +3 46
11
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon H
33 13 7 13 +1 46
12
Cordoba Cordoba
34 12 9 13 -6 45
13
Albacete Albacete
34 11 11 12 -2 44
14
Granada CF Granada CF
33 10 12 11 +3 42
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
33 11 7 15 -4 40
16
Leganes Leganes
34 9 12 13 +1 39
17
Valladolid Valladolid
34 10 9 15 -8 39
18
Cadiz Cadiz
34 10 8 16 -14 38
19
Zaragoza Zaragoza
34 8 10 16 -15 34
20
Huesca Huesca
34 8 8 18 -18 32
21
Mirandes Mirandes
34 8 8 18 -19 32
22
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
34 8 8 18 -24 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record