Challenge Cup
February 17, 2026
ST Johnstone
3–3
FT
Ayr Utd
We predicted
0-0
63% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, February 17 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
0-0
|
Actual
3–3
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
63%
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
ST Johnstone
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
Ayr Utd
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Key Stats Comparison
ST Johnstone
Stat
Ayr Utd
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
ST Johnstone
Draw
Ayr Utd
19
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.