Championship Championship February 21, 2026
Stoke City

Stoke City

22
FT
Leicester

Leicester

We predicted

1-0 31% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Stoke City
Rank#14
Played32
Points43
PPG1.34
Goal Diff5
L D L D L
Leicester
22#Rank
32Played
32Points
1.0PPG
-7Goal Diff
L L L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.7%
5.65
0-0
12.9%
7.73
2-0
12.1%
8.25
1-1
12.0%
8.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.73
NO 63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Stoke City 54% · 1.87
Draw 28% · 3.57
Leicester 18% · 5.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98 Under 66% · 1.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.64 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Stoke City Stoke City
L D L D L
Leicester Leicester
L L L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Stoke City
Stat
Leicester
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.68
#14
League Pos.
#22
43 pts
Points
32 pts
1.34
Points / Game
1.0
+5
Goal Diff.
-7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
42 25 10 7 +42 85
2
Ipswich Ipswich
40 21 12 7 +31 75
3
Millwall Millwall
42 21 10 11 +9 73
4
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
42 20 12 10 +20 72
5
Southampton Southampton
41 19 12 10 +20 69
6
Hull City Hull City
42 20 8 14 +4 68
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby
42 18 9 15 +8 63
9
Norwich Norwich
42 17 7 18 +5 58
10
Bristol City Bristol City
42 16 10 16 +1 58
11
QPR QPR
42 16 10 16 -5 58
12
Watford Watford
42 14 15 13 +1 57
13
Preston Preston
42 14 15 13 -3 57
14
Swansea Swansea
42 16 9 17 -4 57
15
Stoke City Stoke City H
42 15 10 17 +3 55
16
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
42 16 6 20 +0 54
17
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
18
Charlton Charlton
42 12 13 17 -12 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
42 12 12 18 -12 48
20
West Brom West Brom
42 11 13 18 -14 46
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
41 11 12 18 -16 45
22
Oxford United Oxford United
42 10 14 18 -13 44
23
Leicester Leicester A
42 11 14 17 -10 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
42 1 11 30 -57 -4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record