First League
March 11, 2026
Sutjeska
4–1
FT
Arsenal Tivat
We predicted
Sutjeska 4+
39% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 11 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Sutjeska 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Sutjeska 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Sutjeska
Rank#1
Played23
Points43
PPG1.87
Goal Diff13
W
D
W
L
L
Arsenal Tivat
8#Rank
23Played
26Points
1.13PPG
-8Goal Diff
L
L
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Sutjeska 4+
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
8.76
2-0
10.7%
9.39
1-1
10.6%
9.42
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sutjeska
54% · 1.87
Draw
31% · 3.18
Arsenal Tivat
15% · 6.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89
Under 47% · 2.12
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.31
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.27
Under 69% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sutjeska
W
D
W
L
L
Arsenal Tivat
L
L
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Sutjeska
Stat
Arsenal Tivat
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.93
#1
League Pos.
#8
43 pts
Points
26 pts
1.87
Points / Game
1.13
+13
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Sutjeska
Draw
Arsenal Tivat
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sutjeska
H
|
27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | +20 | 55 |
| 2 |
Mornar
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 48 |
| 3 |
Dečić
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 43 |
| 4 |
Petrovac
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 |
Buducnost Podgorica
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +3 | 38 |
| 6 |
Jezero
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 |
Mladost DG
|
27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 |
Arsenal Tivat
A
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 |
Bokelj
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 |
Jedinstvo
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.