Championship
January 17, 2026
Swansea
1–1
FT
Birmingham
We predicted
1-1
16% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, January 17 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
16%
Most Likely Scores
Birmingham 4+
2.4%
Swansea 4+
2.3%
Draw 4+
0.0%
Both Teams To Score
YES
0%
NO
100%
Likely: Clean sheet
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
100%
Over 0%
Under 100%
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
100%
Over 0%
Under 100%
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0%
Under 100%
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Key Stats Comparison
Swansea
Stat
Birmingham
1.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
2 W
Swansea
Draw
Birmingham
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
41 | 25 | 9 | 7 | +42 | 84 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | +29 | 72 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | +21 | 72 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | +9 | 72 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 68 |
| 6 |
Wrexham
|
40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | +9 | 64 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | +9 | 63 |
| 9 |
Norwich
|
41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | +7 | 58 |
| 10 |
Watford
|
41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 57 |
| 11 |
Bristol City
|
41 | 16 | 9 | 16 | +1 | 57 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
41 | 16 | 9 | 16 | -5 | 57 |
| 13 |
Stoke City
|
41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | +3 | 54 |
| 14 |
Preston
|
41 | 13 | 15 | 13 | -4 | 54 |
| 15 |
Swansea
H
|
41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | -5 | 54 |
| 16 |
Birmingham
A
|
41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 53 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | -1 | 51 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | -12 | 47 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -14 | 45 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | -9 | 41 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
41 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -15 | 41 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
41 | 1 | 10 | 30 | -57 | -5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.