UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification March 31, 2026
Sweden U21

Sweden U21

04
FT
Italy U21

Italy U21

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 31 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Sweden U21
Rank#3
Played10
Points18
PPG1.8
Goal Diff14
D W L L W
Italy U21
1#Rank
10Played
24Points
2.4PPG
14Goal Diff
W D W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.06
1-0
10.5%
9.52
2-1
8.9%
11.26
0-1
8.7%
11.52
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.9
NO 47% · 2.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sweden U21 26% · 3.9
Draw 36% · 2.8
Italy U21 39% · 2.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.07 Under 52% · 1.94
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36 Under 27% · 3.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.76 Under 73% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sweden U21 Sweden U21
D W L L W
Italy U21 Italy U21
W D W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Sweden U21
Stat
Italy U21
1.43
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.18
#3
League Pos.
#1
18 pts
Points
24 pts
1.8
Points / Game
2.4
+14
Goal Diff.
+14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
1 W
Sweden U21
Draw
Italy U21
4 total goals
1 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record