USL Super League
April 5, 2026
Tampa Bay Sun W
21:00
VS
Carolina Ascent W
Predicted score
1-1
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Tampa Bay Sun W
Rank#8
Played21
Points21
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-9
W
W
L
L
W
Carolina Ascent W
3#Rank
22Played
33Points
1.5PPG
3Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.01
0-1
10.6%
9.43
1-0
8.9%
11.3
1-2
8.8%
11.35
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.91
NO
48% · 2.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tampa Bay Sun W
23% · 4.37
Draw
34% · 2.96
Carolina Ascent W
43% · 2.31
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.71
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.83
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tampa Bay Sun W
W
W
L
L
W
Carolina Ascent W
D
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Tampa Bay Sun W
Stat
Carolina Ascent W
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.41
#8
League Pos.
#3
21 pts
Points
33 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.5
-9
Goal Diff.
+3
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
3 D
0 W
Tampa Bay Sun W
Draw
Carolina Ascent W
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sporting JAX W
|
22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | +21 | 44 |
| 2 |
Lexington W
|
22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | +19 | 40 |
| 3 |
Carolina Ascent W
A
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 33 |
| 4 |
Dallas Trinity W
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 32 |
| 5 |
DC Power W
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 26 |
| 6 |
Spokane Zephyr W
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 |
Brooklyn W
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Tampa Bay Sun W
H
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 9 |
Fort Lauderdale United W
|
21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -17 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.