Esiliiga A
March 21, 2026
Tartu Welco
5–1
FT
Maardu
We predicted
Tartu Welco 4+
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Tartu Welco 4+
|
Actual
5–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Tartu Welco 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Tartu Welco
Rank#3
Played36
Points63
PPG1.75
Goal Diff20
D
D
W
W
W
Maardu
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
Tartu Welco 4+
13.4%
1-1
9.7%
10.36
2-1
9.6%
10.37
1-0
7.4%
13.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
63% · 1.59
NO
37% · 2.69
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tartu Welco
50% · 2.0
Draw
31% · 3.22
Maardu
19% · 5.3
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57
Under 36% · 2.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.27
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4
Under 58% · 1.71
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tartu Welco
D
D
W
W
W
Maardu
No form data available
Key Stats Comparison
Tartu Welco
Stat
Maardu
2.0
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.3
#3
League Pos.
–
63 pts
Points
– pts
1.75
Points / Game
–
+20
Goal Diff.
+
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Tartu Welco
Draw
Maardu
24
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.