Denmark Series - Group 3
March 14, 2026
Tarup-Paarup
1–4
FT
Marienlyst
We predicted
Marienlyst 4+
42% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Marienlyst 4+
|
Actual
1–4
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Marienlyst 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Tarup-Paarup
Rank#5
Played15
Points20
PPG1.33
Goal Diff-1
L
W
L
W
L
Marienlyst
1#Rank
15Played
38Points
2.53PPG
24Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Marienlyst 4+
19.3%
Tarup-Paarup 4+
14.6%
2-2
7.1%
14.1
1-2
6.4%
15.53
Both Teams To Score
YES
81% · 1.23
NO
19% · 5.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tarup-Paarup
22% · 4.61
Draw
32% · 3.16
Marienlyst
47% · 2.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.22
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 94% · 1.06
Under 6% · 18.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48
Under 32% · 3.08
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tarup-Paarup
L
W
L
W
L
Marienlyst
W
L
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Tarup-Paarup
Stat
Marienlyst
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.45
#5
League Pos.
#1
20 pts
Points
38 pts
1.33
Points / Game
2.53
-1
Goal Diff.
+24
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Tarup-Paarup
Draw
Marienlyst
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Marienlyst
A
|
19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | +31 | 50 |
| 2 |
Esbjerg II
|
18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | +35 | 40 |
| 3 |
SfB-Oure
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +17 | 36 |
| 4 |
OKS
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 29 |
| 5 |
Tarup-Paarup
H
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -4 | 21 |
| 6 |
Horsens II
|
18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 17 |
| 7 |
Ringkøbing
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -23 | 16 |
| 8 |
Hedensted
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 |
Silkeborg KFUM
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |
ØB
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -25 | 12 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.