Liga de Expansión MX Liga de Expansión MX April 4, 2026
Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán

20
FT
Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

We predicted

Tepatitlán 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Tepatitlán 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Tepatitlán
Rank#8
Played14
Points18
PPG1.29
Goal Diff5
L D L L W
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
13#Rank
14Played
13Points
0.93PPG
-9Goal Diff
D L D W D
Most Likely Scores
Tepatitlán 4+
15.3%
2-0
10.9%
9.21
1-0
10.4%
9.62
2-1
10.0%
10.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.9
NO 47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tepatitlán 57% · 1.77
Draw 30% · 3.32
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13% · 7.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.74 Under 42% · 2.36
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 5.02
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
L D L L W
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
D L D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Tepatitlán
Stat
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#8
League Pos.
#13
18 pts
Points
13 pts
1.29
Points / Game
0.93
+5
Goal Diff.
-9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Tepatitlán
Draw
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlante FC Atlante FC
14 9 3 2 +25 30
2
Cancún Cancún
14 9 3 2 +18 30
3
CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero
14 8 6 0 +9 30
4
Irapuato Irapuato
14 6 5 3 +4 23
5
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
14 5 6 3 +2 21
6
Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG
14 6 3 5 +2 21
7
Monarcas Monarcas
14 5 4 5 -2 19
8
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán H
14 4 6 4 +5 18
9
Venados FC Venados FC
14 5 3 6 -1 18
10
CA La Paz CA La Paz
14 4 5 5 -5 17
11
Tapatío Tapatío
14 4 3 7 +2 15
12
Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
14 3 5 6 -13 14
13
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca A
14 3 4 7 -9 13
14
Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat
14 2 4 8 -19 10
15
Dorados Dorados
14 1 2 11 -18 5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record