Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
April 2, 2026
Toledo
1–0
FT
Manchego
We predicted
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 2 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Toledo
Rank#2
Played28
Points58
PPG2.07
Goal Diff32
D
D
D
D
W
Manchego
5#Rank
28Played
53Points
1.89PPG
23Goal Diff
W
D
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.2%
6.17
1-1
12.0%
8.33
2-0
11.8%
8.49
0-0
11.2%
8.94
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.5
NO
60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toledo
36% · 2.74
Draw
34% · 2.93
Manchego
29% · 3.39
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67
Under 63% · 1.6
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.55
Under 36% · 2.8
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.61
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Toledo
D
D
D
D
W
Manchego
W
D
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Toledo
Stat
Manchego
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#2
League Pos.
#5
58 pts
Points
53 pts
2.07
Points / Game
1.89
+32
Goal Diff.
+23
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Toledo
Draw
Manchego
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Calvo Sotelo
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 62 |
| 2 |
Toledo
H
|
29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | +33 | 61 |
| 3 |
Albacete II
|
29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | +31 | 58 |
| 4 |
Tarancón
|
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 58 |
| 5 |
Manchego
A
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Villarrubia
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 45 |
| 7 |
San Clemente
|
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 43 |
| 8 |
Villacañas
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 9 |
Guadalajara II
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +0 | 39 |
| 10 |
Huracán Balazote
|
29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 11 |
Villarrobledo
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 |
Marchamalo
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Illescas
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 |
La Solana
|
29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 |
Pedroñeras
|
29 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 |
Azuqueca
|
29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 |
Sonseca
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -39 | 16 |
| 18 |
Cazalegas
|
28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | -40 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.