Liga MX Liga MX March 15, 2026
Toluca

Toluca

11
FT
Atlas

Atlas

We predicted

2-0 44% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 2-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Toluca
Rank#2
Played10
Points24
PPG2.4
Goal Diff12
W W W W W
Atlas
7#Rank
10Played
16Points
1.6PPG
-2Goal Diff
L W L W L
Most Likely Scores
2-0
20.0%
4.99
1-0
19.7%
5.07
Toluca 4+
14.4%
3-0
13.6%
7.37
Both Teams To Score
YES 23% · 4.38
NO 77% · 1.3
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toluca 67% · 1.49
Draw 30% · 3.33
Atlas 3% · 36.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.43 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.09
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.89 Under 80% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Toluca Toluca
W W W W W
Atlas Atlas
L W L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Toluca
Stat
Atlas
2.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.31
#2
League Pos.
#7
24 pts
Points
16 pts
2.4
Points / Game
1.6
+12
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Toluca
Draw
Atlas
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca H
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Atlas Atlas A
13 5 3 5 -3 18
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
8
Club America Club America
12 5 2 5 +2 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -10 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
12 2 2 8 -16 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record