Liga MX Liga MX February 14, 2026
Toluca

Toluca

10
FT
Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana

We predicted

Toluca 4+ 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Toluca 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Toluca
Rank#6
Played5
Points9
PPG1.8
Goal Diff3
D D D W W
Club Tijuana
10#Rank
5Played
7Points
1.4PPG
1Goal Diff
D D D W D
Most Likely Scores
Toluca 4+
20.7%
2-0
12.5%
7.99
1-0
10.5%
9.49
3-0
9.9%
10.09
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.09
NO 52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toluca 73% · 1.37
Draw 17% · 6.0
Club Tijuana 10% · 9.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Toluca Toluca
D D D W W
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
D D D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Toluca
Stat
Club Tijuana
2.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#6
League Pos.
#10
9 pts
Points
7 pts
1.8
Points / Game
1.4
+3
Goal Diff.
+1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
Toluca
Draw
Club Tijuana
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
13 10 1 3 +14 31
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 7 6 1 +9 24
4
Toluca Toluca H
13 7 5 1 +11 26
5
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana A
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record