Liga MX Liga MX March 8, 2026
Toluca

Toluca

31
FT
FC Juarez

FC Juarez

We predicted

1-1 28% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 8 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Toluca
Rank#2
Played9
Points21
PPG2.33
Goal Diff10
W W W W D
FC Juarez
11#Rank
8Played
10Points
1.25PPG
-1Goal Diff
W W L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.09
1-0
12.1%
8.27
2-1
9.2%
10.85
2-0
9.0%
11.09
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.02
NO 50% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toluca 47% · 2.14
Draw 34% · 2.97
FC Juarez 20% · 5.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4 Under 28% · 3.51
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.09 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Toluca Toluca
W W W W D
FC Juarez FC Juarez
W W L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Toluca
Stat
FC Juarez
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.02
#2
League Pos.
#11
21 pts
Points
10 pts
2.33
Points / Game
1.25
+10
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
0 W
Toluca
Draw
FC Juarez
9 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
13 10 1 3 +14 31
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 7 6 1 +9 24
4
Toluca Toluca H
13 7 5 1 +11 26
5
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez A
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record