Liga MX
April 26, 2026
Toluca
01:00
VS
Leon
Predicted score
Toluca 4+
48% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
48%
Team Context
Toluca
Rank#2
Played10
Points24
PPG2.4
Goal Diff12
W
W
W
W
W
Leon
13#Rank
9Played
10Points
1.11PPG
-4Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Toluca 4+
20.7%
2-0
18.8%
5.33
1-0
15.8%
6.33
3-0
14.8%
6.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
27% · 3.77
NO
73% · 1.36
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toluca
70% · 1.44
Draw
28% · 3.57
Leon
2% · 41.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.98
Under 49% · 2.02
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.54
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Toluca
W
W
W
W
W
Leon
L
W
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Toluca
Stat
Leon
2.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.35
#2
League Pos.
#13
24 pts
Points
10 pts
2.4
Points / Game
1.11
+12
Goal Diff.
-4
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cruz Azul
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |
Toluca
H
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Pachuca
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 25 |
| 5 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |
Atlas
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Club America
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Necaxa
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Leon
A
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 |
Club Tijuana
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |
FC Juarez
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 |
Monterrey
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 |
Atletico San Luis
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 |
Puebla
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |
Club Queretaro
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Mazatlán
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 |
Santos Laguna
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.