Primeira Liga
February 13, 2026
Tondela
1–1
FT
Alverca
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Friday, February 13 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
Tondela
Rank#17
Played21
Points14
PPG0.67
Goal Diff-21
D
D
L
L
L
Alverca
10#Rank
21Played
24Points
1.14PPG
-15Goal Diff
L
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.62
1-0
12.3%
8.13
0-1
10.4%
9.62
0-0
9.8%
10.26
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.13
NO
53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tondela
41% · 2.45
Draw
28% · 3.57
Alverca
31% · 3.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.43
Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48
Under 32% · 3.08
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.85
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tondela
D
D
L
L
L
Alverca
L
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Tondela
Stat
Alverca
1.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#17
League Pos.
#10
14 pts
Points
24 pts
0.67
Points / Game
1.14
-21
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
2 W
Tondela
Draw
Alverca
8
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
A
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
H
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.