Primeira Liga
March 1, 2026
Tondela
2–2
FT
Santa Clara
We predicted
1-1
25% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 1 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Tondela
Rank#17
Played23
Points18
PPG0.78
Goal Diff-19
W
D
D
D
L
Santa Clara
16#Rank
23Played
18Points
0.78PPG
-11Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.5%
7.42
0-1
12.7%
7.88
1-0
12.7%
7.89
0-0
11.9%
8.38
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.33
NO
57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tondela
35% · 2.85
Draw
30% · 3.36
Santa Clara
35% · 2.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.68
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.02
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tondela
W
D
D
D
L
Santa Clara
D
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Tondela
Stat
Santa Clara
1.06
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06
#17
League Pos.
#16
18 pts
Points
18 pts
0.78
Points / Game
0.78
-19
Goal Diff.
-11
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Tondela
Draw
Santa Clara
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | +41 | 66 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Arouca
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
A
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 |
Tondela
H
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.