First League First League March 16, 2026
Torpedo Moskva

Torpedo Moskva

30
FT
FK Neftekhimik

FK Neftekhimik

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Torpedo Moskva
Rank#15
Played23
Points24
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-12
L W W L W
FK Neftekhimik
9#Rank
22Played
31Points
1.41PPG
3Goal Diff
W D W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.76
0-1
11.0%
9.12
1-0
10.0%
10.05
0-0
8.5%
11.81
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Torpedo Moskva 34% · 2.93
Draw 30% · 3.3
FK Neftekhimik 36% · 2.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.25 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
L W W L W
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
W D W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Torpedo Moskva
Stat
FK Neftekhimik
1.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#15
League Pos.
#9
24 pts
Points
31 pts
1.04
Points / Game
1.41
-12
Goal Diff.
+3

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik A
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva H
27 9 7 11 -5 34
12
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
27 6 9 12 -6 27
17
Chayka Chayka
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record