Ligue 1
March 21, 2026
Toulouse
1–0
FT
Lorient
We predicted
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Toulouse
Rank#12
Played25
Points31
PPG1.24
Goal Diff4
L
L
D
L
L
Lorient
10#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
D
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
6.98
2-0
12.4%
8.1
1-1
11.0%
9.12
2-1
9.5%
10.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.28
NO
56% · 1.78
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toulouse
50% · 1.99
Draw
28% · 3.56
Lorient
22% · 4.59
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21
Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.45
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.19
Under 76% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Toulouse
L
L
D
L
L
Lorient
D
D
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Toulouse
Stat
Lorient
1.72
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#12
League Pos.
#10
31 pts
Points
34 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.36
+4
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Toulouse
Draw
Lorient
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
H
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
A
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.