Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 7, 2026
Toulouse

Toulouse

01
FT
Marseille

Marseille

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Toulouse
Rank#11
Played24
Points31
PPG1.29
Goal Diff5
L D L L D
Marseille
4#Rank
24Played
43Points
1.79PPG
18Goal Diff
W L D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.3
1-0
8.8%
11.38
0-1
8.6%
11.57
2-1
8.4%
11.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Toulouse 27% · 3.75
Draw 33% · 3.0
Marseille 40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.21
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.34 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Toulouse Toulouse
L D L L D
Marseille Marseille
W L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Toulouse
Stat
Marseille
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.37
#11
League Pos.
#4
31 pts
Points
43 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.79
+5
Goal Diff.
+18

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
Toulouse
Draw
Marseille
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille A
28 15 4 9 +18 49
5
Monaco Monaco
28 15 4 9 +10 49
6
Lyon Lyon
28 14 6 8 +12 48
7
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Lorient Lorient
28 9 11 8 -4 38
10
Toulouse Toulouse H
28 10 7 11 +4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
28 9 6 13 -13 33
13
Paris FC Paris FC
28 7 11 10 -11 32
14
Le Havre Le Havre
28 6 10 12 -13 28
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
28 5 8 15 -14 23
17
Nantes Nantes
27 4 6 17 -21 18
18
Metz Metz
28 3 6 19 -35 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record