FKF Premier League
April 2, 2026
Tusker
13:00
VS
GOR Mahia
Predicted score
0-1
40% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 2 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Tusker
Rank#9
Played25
Points37
PPG1.48
Goal Diff-2
L
W
W
W
L
GOR Mahia
1#Rank
25Played
56Points
2.24PPG
26Goal Diff
W
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.5%
7.39
1-1
12.7%
7.87
0-0
9.7%
10.3
0-2
9.4%
10.62
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.18
NO
54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tusker
19% · 5.2
Draw
34% · 2.91
GOR Mahia
46% · 2.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.43
Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48
Under 32% · 3.09
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.84
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tusker
L
W
W
W
L
GOR Mahia
W
W
D
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Tusker
Stat
GOR Mahia
0.94
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.39
#9
League Pos.
#1
37 pts
Points
56 pts
1.48
Points / Game
2.24
-2
Goal Diff.
+26
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Tusker
Draw
GOR Mahia
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
A
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 |
AFC Leopards
|
27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 |
Homeboyz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 |
Police
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 43 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 40 |
| 7 |
Nairobi United
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 38 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | +3 | 38 |
| 10 |
Tusker
H
|
26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Mara Sugar
|
26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Mathare United
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 |
APS Bomet
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 |
Bidco United
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 |
Sofapaka
|
27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -21 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.