Liga MX Liga MX March 4, 2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

23
FT
Toluca

Toluca

We predicted

0-1 28% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 2–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Rank#4
Played8
Points16
PPG2.0
Goal Diff8
D W W D W
Toluca
2#Rank
8Played
18Points
2.25PPG
9Goal Diff
W W W D D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.8%
7.8
1-1
12.3%
8.14
0-2
9.7%
10.33
1-2
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.08
NO 52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 18% · 5.44
Draw 34% · 2.98
Toluca 48% · 2.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.39
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.26 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D W W D W
Toluca Toluca
W W W D D

Key Stats Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Stat
Toluca
0.96
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.51
#4
League Pos.
#2
16 pts
Points
18 pts
2.0
Points / Game
2.25
+8
Goal Diff.
+9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
3 D
2 W
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Draw
Toluca
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca A
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas H
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -3 18
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
8
Club America Club America
12 5 2 5 +2 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -10 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
12 2 2 8 -16 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record