Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 March 15, 2026
UD Caravaca

UD Caravaca

02
FT
UCAM Murcia II

UCAM Murcia II

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
UD Caravaca
Rank#15
Played25
Points23
PPG0.92
Goal Diff-9
D L W D D
UCAM Murcia II
6#Rank
25Played
38Points
1.52PPG
6Goal Diff
D D D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.56
0-1
11.5%
8.72
1-0
11.3%
8.86
0-0
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.12
NO 53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Caravaca 25% · 3.96
Draw 35% · 2.86
UCAM Murcia II 40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44 Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48 Under 33% · 3.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.87 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD Caravaca UD Caravaca
D L W D D
UCAM Murcia II UCAM Murcia II
D D D W L

Key Stats Comparison

UD Caravaca
Stat
UCAM Murcia II
1.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#15
League Pos.
#6
23 pts
Points
38 pts
0.92
Points / Game
1.52
-9
Goal Diff.
+6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Cieza Cieza
29 19 7 3 +37 64
2
Real Murcia II Real Murcia II
29 16 6 7 +17 54
3
Unión Molinense Unión Molinense
29 15 7 7 +11 52
4
Olímpico Totana Olímpico Totana
29 13 10 6 +14 49
5
UCAM Murcia II UCAM Murcia II A
29 12 12 5 +14 48
6
Mazarrón FC Mazarrón FC
29 12 12 5 +14 48
7
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
29 12 6 11 +1 42
8
Atlético Pulpileño Atlético Pulpileño
29 11 9 9 +0 42
9
Águilas II Águilas II
29 10 9 10 +1 39
10
Bala Azul Bala Azul
29 7 15 7 +7 36
11
Cartagena LU II Cartagena LU II
29 9 9 11 +4 36
12
SFC Minerva SFC Minerva
29 8 11 10 -10 35
13
El Palmar El Palmar
29 8 7 14 -12 31
14
Balsicas Atlético Balsicas Atlético
29 7 8 14 -12 29
15
UD Caravaca UD Caravaca H
29 5 11 13 -10 26
16
Muleño Muleño
29 5 10 14 -21 25
17
Santomera Santomera
29 5 8 16 -27 23
18
Yeclano II Yeclano II
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record