Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 28, 2026
UD Melilla II

UD Melilla II

30
FT
Arenas Armilla

Arenas Armilla

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
UD Melilla II
Rank#12
Played26
Points30
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-3
L D L D D
Arenas Armilla
3#Rank
26Played
49Points
1.88PPG
15Goal Diff
W W W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.2%
6.19
0-0
15.1%
6.62
1-1
13.3%
7.54
0-1
12.4%
8.06
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.72
NO 63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Melilla II 28% · 3.51
Draw 37% · 2.71
Arenas Armilla 35% · 2.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.41 Under 71% · 1.42
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.1 Under 88% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
L D L D D
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
W W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

UD Melilla II
Stat
Arenas Armilla
1.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#12
League Pos.
#3
30 pts
Points
49 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.88
-3
Goal Diff.
+15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla A
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II H
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record