Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 March 22, 2026
UD Ourense

UD Ourense

31
FT
Sámano

Sámano

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
UD Ourense
Rank#6
Played27
Points41
PPG1.52
Goal Diff2
L W L D L
Sámano
18#Rank
27Played
15Points
0.56PPG
-40Goal Diff
W L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.85
2-0
11.7%
8.54
UD Ourense 4+
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
9.42
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Ourense 55% · 1.83
Draw 31% · 3.18
Sámano 14% · 7.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.01 Under 50% · 1.99
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.6 Under 72% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD Ourense UD Ourense
L W L D L
Sámano Sámano
W L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

UD Ourense
Stat
Sámano
1.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#6
League Pos.
#18
41 pts
Points
15 pts
1.52
Points / Game
0.56
+2
Goal Diff.
-40

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
UD Ourense
Draw
Sámano
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña II
30 18 9 3 +34 63
2
Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II
30 15 9 6 +16 54
3
Gimnástica Segoviana Gimnástica Segoviana
30 13 9 8 +4 48
4
UD Ourense UD Ourense H
30 13 9 8 +5 48
5
Real Ávila Real Ávila
30 13 8 9 +3 47
6
Coruxo Coruxo
30 13 6 11 +6 45
7
Salamanca UDS Salamanca UDS
30 12 8 10 +7 44
8
Numancia Numancia
30 11 10 9 +6 43
9
Bergantiños Bergantiños
30 11 9 10 +4 42
10
Atlético Astorga Atlético Astorga
30 11 7 12 -2 40
11
Langreo Langreo
30 10 9 11 -5 39
12
Racing Santander II Racing Santander II
30 8 15 7 +10 39
13
Marino de Luanco Marino de Luanco
30 9 11 10 +2 38
14
Sarriana Sarriana
30 10 7 13 +2 37
15
Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II
30 8 9 13 -6 33
16
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
30 6 11 13 -17 29
17
Lealtad Lealtad
30 7 6 17 -19 27
18
Sámano Sámano A
30 3 6 21 -50 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record